NOAA Storm Prediction Center
Convective Outlooks
Convective Outlooks
The convective outlooks serve as guidance to the local NWS forecast offices and are used by emergency managers, private sector meteorologists, media, and other weather customers concerned with public safety. Three separate risk areas (slight, moderate, and high) are used to describe the expected coverage and intensity for the categorical severe weather threat on days 1-3 along with severe weather probabilities for the potential threat.
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Categorical Day2 0700Z Outlook
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Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
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Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
000
ACUS02 KWNS 290600
SWODY2
SPC AC 290559
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1259 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A severe threat is not expected to develop across the continental
U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night.
...DISCUSSION...
Anticyclonic mid-level flow is forecast across much of the central
and eastern U.S. on Saturday. Thunderstorms will be possible during
the day into the evening from the Mid Mississippi Valley into the
upper Ohio Valley, as a subtle shortwave trough moves eastward.
Thunderstorms will also be possible across parts of California and
Nevada, along the eastern edge of an upper-level system moving
south-southeastward, offshore and parallel to the California coast.
A severe threat is not expected to develop in any of these areas on
Saturday and Saturday night.
..Broyles.. 03/29/2024
$$