NOAA Storm Prediction Center

Convective Outlooks

Convective Outlooks
The convective outlooks serve as guidance to the local NWS forecast offices and are used by emergency managers, private sector meteorologists, media, and other weather customers concerned with public safety. Three separate risk areas (slight, moderate, and high) are used to describe the expected coverage and intensity for the categorical severe weather threat on days 1-3 along with severe weather probabilities for the potential threat.

Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Convective Tornado
Hail Wind
Categorical Day1 1300Z Outlook
  
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion


000
ACUS01 KWNS 161231
SWODY1
SPC AC 161229

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Valid 161300Z - 171200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast over the contiguous U.S. today or
tonight.

...Discussion...

A large area of arctic high pressure will spread through remainder
of the central and eastern U.S. today with offshore flow promoting
stable conditions inland.

..Dial.. 01/16/2018

$$